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华泰证券:继续关注摊余成本债基重启带来的结构机会_我的网站

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Artists stage a performance during the 2026 Sziget Festival in Budapest, Hungary, Aug. 10, 2026. The event officially opened to the public on Tuesday on Budapest's Obuda Island, bringing together music, arts and cultural programs from Hungary and abroad. Running until Aug. 15, this year's festival provided around 12 themed districts offering music, contemporary arts, circus performances, sports, family and community programs. (Photo by Attila Volgyi/Xinhua)

People enjoy performances during the 2026 Sziget Festival in Budapest, Hungary, Aug. 10, 2026. The event officially opened to the public on Tuesday on Budapest's Obuda Island, bringing together music, arts and cultural programs from Hungary and abroad. Running until Aug. 15, this year's festival provided around 12 themed districts offering music, contemporary arts, circus performances, sports, family and community programs. (Photo by Attila Volgyi/Xinhua)

An artist performs during the 2026 Sziget Festival in Budapest, Hungary, Aug. 10, 2026. The event officially opened to the public on Tuesday on Budapest's Obuda Island, bringing together music, arts and cultural programs from Hungary and abroad. Running until Aug. 15, this year's festival provided around 12 themed districts offering music, contemporary arts, circus performances, sports, family and community programs. (Photo by Attila Volgyi/Xinhua)

People enjoy performances during the 2026 Sziget Festival in Budapest, Hungary, Aug. 10, 2026. The event officially opened to the public on Tuesday on Budapest's Obuda Island, bringing together music, arts and cultural programs from Hungary and abroad. Running until Aug. 15, this year's festival provided around 12 themed districts offering music, contemporary arts, circus performances, sports, family and community programs. (Photo by Attila Volgyi/Xinhua)
。 华泰证券研报称,上周海外债市共振调整、超长端领跌,但中债收益率不升反降,内外债市定价明显背离。海外长端上行并非单一国别事件,而是AI融资挤出国债需求、主权财政扩张和债务担忧、央行与机构需求收缩、通胀尾部风险升温的共同结果。华泰证券认为,美国财政部扩大回购杯水车薪,AI投资增速下滑、高利率反噬投资可能推动利率下行。国内利率定价仍由内需偏弱、资金面偏松和资产荒主导,海外利率更多约束利率下行空间。策略上,10年国债1.7%之下不建议追涨,但短期方向仍偏有利,维持存单与超长债组合,二永债等提防“固收+”赎回扰动,继续关注摊余成本债基重启带来的结构机会。
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Published on:09:36:38